Demographics in local political districts reflect trends from Census data

Demographics in local political districts reflect trends from Census data
Demographics in local political districts reflected data from the 2020 U.S. Census, showing an increase of minority populations throughout North Hempstead. (Chart by Robert Pelaez)

The seven North Shore political districts with elections this November had an average total population increase of more than 5% since 2012 led by the growth of minority populations over the past 10 years, a reflection of local trends from the 2020 U.S. Census.

The maps analyzed by Blank Slate Media were the state’s 3rd and 4th Congressional Districts, the state’s 7th Senate District and the state’s 13th, 15th, 16th and 19th Assembly Districts.

Population data was taken from the U.S. Department of Justice and the 2012 and recently approved 2022 maps from the state’s Legislative Task Force on Demographic Research and Reapportionment.

Demographics listed in the data were White, Black, Hispanic, Asian, American Indian, Hawaiin-Pacific Islander, Multiracial and Other.

Both the 3rd and 4th Congressional Districts had an 8.25% increase in total population over the past decade, growing from more than 717,700 residents to 776,971 in 2022. The White population in both districts decreased by an average of more than 13%, figures showed. 

Fewer than 400,000 White people reside in the 4th Congressional District, which currently includes the communities of Baldwin, Bellmore, East Rockaway, East Meadow, the Five Towns, Lynbrook, Floral Park, Franklin Square, Garden City, Garden City Park, Hempstead, Atlantic Beach, Long Beach, Malverne, Freeport, Merrick, Mineola, Carle Place, New Hyde Park, Oceanside, Rockville Centre, Roosevelt, Uniondale, Wantagh, West Hempstead, Westbury and parts of Valley Stream.

Nearly 100,000 fewer White people reside in the 3rd Congressional District, which includes the entire Town of North Hempstead including parts of Floral Park, New Hyde Park, Garden City, Mineola and Westbury villages.

While the 3rd Congressional District under the new map does not extend as far west as the Bronx or Westchester, it does stretch to more southern parts of Nassau County such as Hicksville and Massapequa.

The Assembly Districts had populations of roughly 128,930 in 2012, with some having either several more or fewer residents, but their increases were more sporadic a decade later.

The 13th District grew to just 130,500 people in 2022, the 15th District grew to 134,400, the 19th District grew to 135,300 and the 16th District grew to 138,800 in 2022, statistics showed.

Assembly District 16 comprises Great Neck, Manhasset, Port Washington, Herricks, Mineola, Baxter Estates, parts of East Williston, Old Westbury, Roslyn Estates, Roslyn, Albertson, Williston Park and New Hyde Park.

New York’s 15th Assembly District includes Bethpage, Brookville, East Norwich, Farmingdale, Glen Cove, Glen Head, Glenwood Landing, Greenvale, Hicksville, Jericho, Lattingtown, Laurel Hollow, Levittown, Locust Valley, Matinecock, Mill Neck, Muttontown, Old Bethpage, Old Brookville, Old Westbury, Oyster Bay, Oyster Bay Cove, Plainedge, Plainview, Salisbury, Syosset, Roslyn Harbor, Upper Brookville and Woodbury. 

New York’s 19th Assembly District stretches into North Hempstead, Hempstead and Oyster Bay. Communities include Franklin Square, West Hempstead, Garden City South, Garden City Park, New Hyde Park, North New Hyde Park, Westbury, Carle Place, Mineola, Williston Park, East Williston, Westbury, Old Westbury, Brookville, Old Brookville, Upper Brookville and Glen Head.

Assembly District 13 comprises Glen Cove, Sea Cliff, Plainview, Woodbury, Glenwood Landing, Cove Neck, Centre Island and Jericho as well as residents in parts of Bayville, Oyster Bay, Oyster Bay Cove, Laurel Hollow, Syosset, Old Bethpage, Bethpage, Hicksville, Westbury/New Cassel, Muttontown, Brookville, East Hills, Greenvale, Roslyn, Roslyn Heights and Roslyn Harbor.

White populations decreased in all of the Assembly Districts by an average of roughly 8,500 people. The 15th, 16th and 19th Districts had more than 91,000 White residents in 2012, while none had more than 88,000 in 2022. The 13th District had more than 82,000 White residents in 2012, but decreased to 63,400 in 2022, the lowest total figure out of all seven districts.

The 7th District’s population grew from 315,000 in 2012 to 325,500 in 2022, according to the figures.

The state’s 7th Senate District includes Floral Park, New Hyde Park, Williston Park, Mineola, Garden City Park, North Hills, Albertson, Old Westbury, East Hills, Roslyn, Roslyn Harbor, Roslyn Estates, Albertson, Searingtown, Lake Success, Manhasset, Munsey Park, Plandome, Plandome Heights, Plandome Manor, and the Great Neck and Port Washington peninsulas.

The White population in the 7th Senate District increased by roughly 2,000 people, going from 196,000 in 2012 to 198,000 a decade later, according to figures.

Nearly 30,000 more Black residents are in the 4th Congressional District with 130,583 reported in 2022, according to the numbers.

More than 28,000 Black residents are in the 3rd District, an increase from the nearly 22,000 residing in it a decade ago.

Black populations increased by 12% or less in the 13th, 16th and 19th Assembly Districts while significantly decreasing in the 7th Senate District and the 15th Assembly District.

The 7th Senate District had nearly 24,000 Black residents in 2012, a number which has decreased to 7,500 10 years later. The 15th Assembly District went from 3,056 Black residents in 2012 to 2,138 in 2022.

Hispanic populations increased by at least 30% in all districts aside from the 7th Senate District and the 15th Assembly District. Each district has at least 13,000 Hispanic residents in 2022, with the 4th District leading with 171,500.

Asian American populations increased by at least 40% in each district, with no fewer than 22,000 reported in each district. The 3rd Congressional District had more than 98,000 Asian American residents in 2012 and 188,400 in 2022, statistics showed.

An influx of minority populations is reflective of the growing diversity throughout Nassau County outlined in the 2020 U.S. Census.

The Town of North Hempstead, which had a 5% increase in total population to more than 237,000 residents, saw similar trends. The town’s white, non-Hispanic population decreased from 64.8% in 2010 to 53.9% in 2020, according to the data. Its Asian American population rose from 14.9% to 23% over the past decade, a 62% increase.

Hispanics or Latinos made up 12.8% of the town’s population in 2010, growing by more than 20% over the past 10 years to 14.8%. Its Black population declined from 5.3% in 2010 to 4.8% in 2020, statistics showed.

Other races not specified in the census data increased in the town by more than 138.6% throughout the town, jumping from 691 in 2010 to 1,649 in 2020. Individuals with two or more races nearly doubled over the past decade, growing from 3,872 in 2010 to 6,424 in 2020.

Nassau County’s total population increased by more than 56,000, or 4.2%, over the 10 years, and is less than 5,000 away from surpassing 1.4 million residents, according to the data.

The county’s non-Hispanic white population decreased from 65.5% in 2010 to 55.8 percent in 2020. In 2010, Asian Americans made up 7.6 percent of Nassau’s population, which increased to 11.7% in 2020.

The Hispanic or Latino population increased by more than 31%, growing from 14.6% in 2010 to 18.4% in 2020. While data showed that Nassau’s Black population remained at 10.5% over the decade, it did increase by 4.2%.

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  1. Thanks for your important as well as interesting article. It took my local 6 Prenict POlice officer over three years to finally attend and admit my complain of their police officer’s wrongdoing in issuing two traffic summons for one “alleged” traffic violation(for not stopping at a stop sign). No apology and no compensation for their wrongdoing resulted additional fines incurred when I plead guilty to their erroneous act. Is there anyone can do in such situation?


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